Articles

Print

Wisdom (or not) from JW

Written by JW of Minnesota on .

 

With the election next week, another blog posted it’s election predictions. Seems like this other blog has been doing a lot of cheerleading lately. I feel it’s a good time to share my opinion on the local races, less optimistic than you may find elsewhere. Cheerleading has it’s time and place, but one thing I like about the Anti-Strib is that we aren’t afraid to kick anyone in the shorts, regardless of party affiliation.
So here goes minions,, my opinion on the local election next week:

Gov: My concern is that Dayton will win this election. Not necessary from the strength of his campaign or his charm. The last two elections have benefited from an independent running, but this time may be different. All of the local “business leaders” and Republican moderates who support Horner are looking for the well spoken, effeminate, and moderate candidate who won’t say anything to make them uncomfortable. To them, they can go crap in their hat for helping Dayton win. If Horner wins higher than 11-12%, lower than 2002 or 2006, it’ll be enough to help elect Dayton. Pawlenty was both lucky and skilled for the 2002 and 2006 elections. In a few years, we will think of him as one of our better governors.
My other prediction is that Dayton would step down before finishing the full 4 years if elected Hostile legislature, nervous breakdowns and the media may turn on him after a few.

CD races: No changes, CD8 might swing away from Oberstar.

Other: Outside of the Auditor’s race, I don’t see any changes. Anderson may win the Auditors race, which would be great. Although change would be great, it may not happen for the other offices. As for local House and Senate, I don’t see a change either.
These aren’t very optimistic, but I’ve had success with handicapping elections before. We call it like it is here at the Anti-Strib. Please opine, or tell me I’m full of shit and should leave handicapping to Rasmussen and go back to doing what the Irish do best.

 

 

With the election next week, another blog posted it’s election predictions. Seems like this other blog has been doing a lot of cheerleading lately. I feel it’s a good time to share my opinion on the local races, less optimistic than you may find elsewhere. Cheerleading has it’s time and place, but one thing I like about the Anti-Strib is that we aren’t afraid to kick anyone in the shorts, regardless of party affiliation.

So here goes, minions, my opinion on the local election next week:

Gov: My concern is that Dayton will win this election. Not necessary from the strength of his campaign or his charm. The last two elections have benefited from an independent running, but this time may be different. All of the local “business leaders” and Republican moderates who support Horner are looking for the well spoken, effeminate, and moderate candidate who won’t say anything to make them uncomfortable. To them, they can go crap in their hat for helping Dayton win. If Horner wins higher than 11-12%, lower than 2002 or 2006, it’ll be enough to help elect Dayton.

Pawlenty was both lucky and skilled for the 2002 and 2006 elections. In a few years, we will think of him as one of our better governors.My other prediction is that Dayton would step down before finishing the full 4 years if elected. Hostile legislature, nervous breakdowns and the media may turn on him after a few.

CD races: No changes, CD8 might swing away from Oberstar.

Other: Outside of the Auditor’s race, I don’t see any changes. Anderson may win the Auditors race, which would be great. Although change would be great, it may not happen for the other offices. As for local House and Senate, I don’t see a change either.

These aren’t very optimistic, but I’ve had success with handicapping elections before. We call it like it is here at the Anti-Strib. Please opine, or tell me I’m full of shit and should leave handicapping to Rasmussen and go back to doing what the Irish do best.